Daniele Bianchi

I am an Associate Professor at the School of Economics and Finance, Queen Mary University of London. My research interests span empirical asset pricing, Bayesian econometrics, and machine learning. I also have a keen interest in cryptocurrency markets.

My work has been published in the Review of Financial Studies, the Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, the Review of Asset Pricing Studies, the Journal of Econometrics, and the Journal of Business and Economic Statistics.

Daniele Bianchi

Main Publications

2026

Time-Varying Skewness and Momentum Crashes

REV ASSET PRICING STUD · forthcoming · Depolis, Petrella
2026

Macroeconomic Fundamentals and the Shape of Sovereign Credit Risk

J FINANC QUANT ANAL · forthcoming · Jiao
2026

Scalable Variational Bayes Inference for Dynamic Variable Selection

J COMPUT GRAPH STAT · forthcoming · Bernardi, Bianco
2025

Mispricing and Risk Compensation in Cryptocurrency Returns

J FINANC QUANT ANAL · forthcoming · Babiak
2024

Variational Inference for Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions

J BUS ECON STAT · 42(3) 1066–1082 · Bernardi, Bianco
2022

Trading Volume and Liquidity Provision in Cryptocurrency Markets

J BANK FINANC · vol 142 · Dickerson, Babiak
2021

Bond Risk Premiums with Machine Learning

REV FINANC STUD · 34(2) 1046–1089 · Büchner, Tamoni
INVESCO Best Paper Award, FMA 2019
2021

Adaptive Expectations and Commodity Risk Premiums

J ECON DYN CONTROL · vol 124
2019

Modeling Systemic Risk with Markov Switching Graphical SUR Models

J ECONOMETRICS · 210(1) 58–74 · Billio, Casarin, Guidolin
2017

Macroeconomic Factors Strike Back: A Bayesian Change Point Model of Time-Varying Risk Exposures and Premia in the U.S. Cross Section

J BUS ECON STAT · 35(1) · Guidolin, Ravazzolo

Working Papers

2026

Machine Learning Portfolio Choice under Parameter Uncertainty

Zheng
2025

Transaction Costs and the Stochastic Discount Factor

Jiao, Ma
2025

Extrapolation Bias and the Lottery Effect: Evidence from Cryptocurrency Markets

Babiak
2025

The Sector Anatomy of Commodity Risk Premia

Jung
2025

Correlated False Discoveries and Asset Pricing Anomalies

Komiyama, McAllin, Yang
2025

Weak Signals, Small Bets: A Portfolio Perspective on Firm Characteristics

Venturi
REAG Best Articles Award, XXV Brazilian Finance Meeting
2023

It Takes Two to Tango: Economic Theory and Model Uncertainty for Equity Premium Prediction

Rubesam, Tamoni
2018

Divide and Conquer: Financial Ratios and Industry Returns Predictability

McAlinn